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Hybrid marked point processes: characterisation, existence and uniqueness. (arXiv:1707.06970v1 [math.PR])

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We introduce the class of hybrid marked point processes, which incorporate a state process that interacts with past-dependent events. For example, like in a Hawkes process, events can exhibit self- or cross-excitation effects, but these effects can now also depend on the state process. Events of type A will precipitate events of type B only when they move the state process to some critical region, say. In parallel, as each event occurs, the state process transitions to a new value according to transition probabilities that vary with the event type. We prove that such dynamics are equivalent to an intensity process of a specific product form. Our main result addresses the existence of non-explosive marked point processes with given intensities by studying a well-known Poisson-driven SDE (via Poisson embedding). The existing strong existence and uniqueness results rely on a Lipschitz condition that the intensity of a hybrid marked point process may fail to satisfy. This motivates us to propose a natural pathwise construction that instead requires only sublinear behaviour of the intensity. Using a domination argument, we are able to verify that this construction yields indeed a solution. As we restrict ourselves to non-explosive marked point processes, we also manage to prove uniqueness without any specific assumptions on the intensity.


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