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Parallelizing Computation of Expected Values in Recombinant Binomial Trees. (arXiv:1701.03512v1 [stat.CO])

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Recombinant binomial trees are binary trees where each non-leaf node has two child nodes, but adjacent parents share a common child node. Such trees arise in finance when pricing an option. For example, valuation of a European option can be carried out by evaluating the expected value of asset payoffs with respect to random paths in the tree. In many variants of the option valuation problem, a closed form solution cannot be obtained and computational methods are needed. The cost to exactly compute expected values over random paths grows exponentially in the depth of the tree, rendering a serial computation of one branch at a time impractical. We propose a parallelization method that transforms the calculation of the expected value into an "embarrassingly parallel" problem by mapping the branches of the binomial tree to the processes in a multiprocessor computing environment. We also propose a parallel Monte Carlo method which takes advantage of the mapping to achieve a reduced variance over the basic Monte Carlo estimator. Performance results from R and Julia implementations of the parallelization method on a distributed computing cluster indicate that both the implementations are scalable, but Julia is significantly faster than a similarly written R code. A simulation study is carried out to verify the convergence and the variance reduction behavior in the proposed Monte Carlo method.


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