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Channel: MoneyScience: MoneyScience's news channel - arXiv > Recent Papers in Quant Finance
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Stock returns forecast: an examination by means of Artificial Neural Networks. (arXiv:1801.07960v1 [q-fin.CP])

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The validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has been under severe scrutiny since several decades. However, the evidence against it is not conclusive. Artificial Neural Networks provide a model-free means to analize the prediction power of past returns on current returns. This chapter analizes the predictability in the intraday Brazilian stock market using a backpropagation Artificial Neural Network. We selected 20 stocks from Bovespa index, according to different market capitalization, as a proxy for stock size. We find that predictability is related to capitalization. In particular, larger stocks are less predictable than smaller ones.


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